The Iran war is currently in an artificial stasis, where many in the international coalition opposed to U.S. President Donald Trump have accepted Iran's claim that its survival equates to victory. This perception is false. This conflict has been the most one-sided war between serious combatants in modern history. Iran has lost much of its military capacity and defence production, and faces a tight naval blockade. American casualties remain minimal.
Trump's options and challenges
Trump has threatened to destroy Iran's bridges and electrical grid, but hesitates without clear provocation. He faces criticism from Pope Leo XIV, who has unfairly criticized the U.S. while ignoring Iran's atrocities. The Pope has also remained silent on Christian persecution in Nigeria, where the Trump administration has provided assistance.
When Trump threatens escalation, critics accuse him of barbarism and claim the war cannot be won humanely. When he negotiates, they say "Trump always chickens out." However, Iran and its critics are in vulnerable positions.
Strategic steps to victory
To complete Iran's strangulation, the United States must destroy oil storage and shipping capacity on Kharg Island and seize or destroy Iran's floating oil reserve of large tankers. These steps are easily within U.S. capabilities and would bankrupt Iran, cutting off funds to regime supporters.
Simultaneously, the U.S. should assure oil flow through the Strait of Hormuz for all exporters except Iran. This requires organizing convoys of about 30 tankers three times daily, with U.S. Marines on board for anti-drone and anti-boarding measures. Approximately 10 U.S. destroyers and specialized ships would clear underwater drones and mines. Air superiority must be maintained with U.S. jets, attack helicopters, AC-130 gunships, and other aircraft to destroy small craft and drones. Raiding parties should target Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps positions.
These measures would decisively win the war, adding to Trump's list of achievements.
