The stage is set for a dramatic 2025 Grey Cup clash this Sunday, November 16th, pitting the statistically dominant Saskatchewan Roughriders against the Montreal Alouettes, a team whose championship hopes rest squarely on the health of their undefeated quarterback, Davis Alexander.
The Statistical Mismatch
On paper, the Saskatchewan Roughriders appear to be the clear favourites. They finished the regular season with a strong 12-6 record, claiming first place in the competitive West Division. In contrast, the Montreal Alouettes secured a 10-8 record for a second-place finish in the East.
The two teams met twice during the regular season, with each claiming a decisive victory. The Riders manhandled the Alouettes in an August 2nd matchup at Molson Stadium, winning 34-6. However, Montreal returned the favour on September 13th at Mosaic Stadium, pulling off a stunning 48-31 victory that ended a five-game losing skid and ignited a five-game winning streak, completely turning their season around.
Key Players and the Injury Question
The Roughriders are led by veteran quarterback Trevor Harris, who at 39 is still seeking his first CFL championship as a starter. Harris had an impressive season, throwing for 4,549 yards and 24 touchdowns. He has a potent arsenal at his disposal, including two 1,000-yard receivers, KeeSean Johnson and Dohnte Meyers, and a powerful running back in A.J. Ouellette, who rushed for 1,222 yards.
However, the Alouettes have a secret weapon: quarterback Davis Alexander. Alexander boasts a perfect 13-0 record as a starter over two seasons, including a remarkable 9-0 in 2025. The entire Montreal game plan hinges on his fitness, as he is dealing with an injured left hamstring. The central question for the Alouettes is whether his mobility will be restricted, or if the hamstring will hold up under the pressure of the championship game. If it doesn't, the team's chances are considered slim.
Historical Context and Final Prediction
Despite their strong roster, the Roughriders carry a challenging Grey Cup history, with a 4-15 record in the championship game and no title since 2013. The Alouettes, meanwhile, are riding a wave of momentum, having won seven of their last eight games and believing firmly in their ability to win.
In a contest that promises to be a nail-biter, the intangibles and the magic of an undefeated quarterback are predicted to triumph over pure statistical power. The final forecast sees the Montreal Alouettes edging out the Saskatchewan Roughriders 26-25 to claim the Grey Cup.
