CMHC Forecast: More Rental Housing Supply, Higher Vacancy Rates Coming to Quebec in 2026
CMHC: Quebec Rental Supply to Increase, Vacancy Rates Up in 2026

Quebec Rental Market Set for Significant Changes in 2026, According to CMHC Analysis

The Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) has released a new forecast indicating that Quebec residents can anticipate notable shifts in the rental housing landscape by 2026. The national housing agency projects increased rental housing supply alongside higher vacancy rates across the province, potentially offering some relief to renters who have faced challenging market conditions in recent years.

Projected Market Improvements

According to the CMHC outlook, several factors are converging to create more favorable conditions for Quebec renters. The agency's analysis suggests that construction completions and new housing developments currently in the pipeline will contribute to a measurable increase in available rental units. This expanded supply is expected to directly impact vacancy rates, pushing them upward from current levels.

The forecast represents a significant development for Quebec's housing market, which has experienced tight conditions and competitive rental environments in many urban centers. While specific percentage increases were not detailed in the initial report, the direction of the trend suggests meaningful improvement in housing accessibility.

Broader Housing Market Context

The CMHC report places these rental market predictions within a larger housing context. The agency notes that while home sales are expected to pick up in 2026, overall market activity will likely remain subdued compared to previous peak periods. This tempered sales environment may contribute to the rental market dynamics, as some potential buyers continue to rent while assessing their options.

The housing agency's analysis considers multiple economic factors, including interest rate trajectories, population growth patterns, and construction industry capacity. These elements collectively inform their projections for Quebec's housing landscape over the coming years.

Potential Implications for Renters and Landlords

For Quebec residents seeking rental accommodations, the forecast suggests:

  • More options when searching for rental properties
  • Potentially reduced competition for available units
  • Possible stabilization or moderation of rental price increases

For property owners and landlords, the changing dynamics may require adjustments to marketing strategies and pricing approaches as the market balance shifts toward greater availability.

The CMHC continues to monitor housing markets across Canada, providing data-driven insights that inform both policy decisions and individual housing choices. Their 2026 projections for Quebec's rental market offer a cautiously optimistic outlook for those navigating the province's housing landscape.